Can my devils make The Dance?

What's it going to take to make the Dance?
There's been plenty to complain about this season (RE, no defense, bad play calling, guard play, etc.). I thought it would be a good exercise to look forward to see what we need to get done in order to go Dancing.
Current Record - 16-7 (5-6 P10)
We've got UCLA & USC, OSU & Oregon, Washington & WSU, & uofa.
In my opinion, we must beat USC, both Oregon schools, WSU… and beat either UCLA, Washington, or uofa, to be on the bubble. That would put our record at 21-9 (10-8 P10). I think this would probably put us in regardless of what happens in the P10 Tourney. We have to show the selection committee that we can beat a quality opponent.
If we finished the regular season at 20-10 (9-9 P10), there would be a very outside shot at the dance if we went deep into the Pac10 Tourney.
Otherwise, it's the NIT for my devils.
These are my $0.02.

GO DEVILS!!!